Read the following materials on ensemble forecasting as mentioned in the video:
https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/focus/2017/fact-sheet-ensemble-weather-forecasting
https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=7773
https://www.encyclopedie-environnement.org/en/air-en/overall-forecast/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ensemble_forecasting
There was a group project in the CUHK ESSC4602 2022 summer course, which was also mentioned in CPAS’ 15 minute talk in the Joint WRF/MPAS Users’ Workshop 2023 in Youtube video
(First 15 minutes)
Under an individual learning setting in a massive open online course (MOOC) like this one, unfortunately you may not be coordinated to have group projects. If you have your favourite model and run it periodically (e.g. running a 5-day forecast model daily), you may actually have a poor man’s time-tagged mini-ensemble. Assess the variability of the outcoming forecast and you may have preliminary feelings of ensemble forecasting.
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